The Boks, fresh from their back to back wins over New Zealand, face Australia at Newlands on Saturday in what promises to be a cracker of a game. A win for the Boks will go a long way in ensuring that South Africa wins their first tri-nations title since 2004; while a win for Australia will place them in a strong position in the tournament given that they are yet to play a single home game. A win for the Wallabies will also send a warning shot to the world of rugby that the Wallabies will be serious contenders for the Webb Ellis trophy come 2011.
Deans has not made any changes to the starting XV that went down 22-16 to New Zealand nearly three weeks ago. The only change sees Peter Hynes come into the matchday 22 in place of Phil Waugh, as the Wallaby coach opts for a four – three split on his bench. This makes sense given the wobbly game that young O’Connor had in New Zealand. Similarly, PdV has kept his faith in the starting XV that ran out against New Zealand in Durban, with the only change being the return of Ruan Pienaar on the bench in place of Wynand Olivier. Pienaar’s presence in the team makes the Boks look a much more balanced side as compared to last week, when there was no cover at fly-half for the Boks. This in itself should make for a good encounter; two settled sides; one on red hot form and the other improving its performances game by game. I am tempted to say that on current form we will be seeing the two best sides in the world go head to head on Saturday.
It’s hard to see the Wallaby front row standing up to the Boks’ scrummagers.. PdV has even tried to initiate some mind games by all but calling the Wallabies cheats when it comes to scrum time! Although I expect the Boks to have an upper hand in this department I do not expect the Wallabies to try and collapse the scrums in an effort to nullify the Bok supremacy in this area. I thought Baxter fared very well against Woodcock but he faces the ultimate test in The Beast. We mustn’t forget however that Benn Robinson showed John Smit a thing or two when they scrummed against each other in the Super 14.
Expect the lineouts to be keenly contested this weekend as both teams pride themselves in dominating this area of the game. I think it will be dead even; but the major difference will be that the Boks are likely to try and use the lineouts as a set up for the driving mauls; a known Achilles heel of the Wallabies. The Wallabies by contrast will use the lineout as a launch pad to spread the ball wide and test what has been an “iffy” Bok defensive line.
Brussow gets another stern test in the form of George Smith but to date, Brussow has passed all tests with flying colours. Richie McCaw’s all round game makes him the king of openside flankers; but George Smiths physical stature makes him the king of the breakdown. Brussow has been the darling of SA rugby because of his exploits on the ground, but Mr Smith will be the acid test of just how good Brussow is and I will put my head on the block and say that Smith will outperform Brussow on Saturday.
If the Boks have the best pack in world rugby, then the Wallabies have the best backline. From 10 to 15 Australia have players who can be described as complete on both attack and defence and I fully expect the Wallabies to create a series of holes in the Bok backline. DeVilliers and Fourie, be warned!
The strength of the benches seems pretty evenly matched, although Ricky Januarie’s presence on the Bok bench continues to mystify me. In a game that’s likely to be as close as this one, Ricky could make the difference between a Bok win and a Bok loss.
Overall I don’t think we will see a Test that is as physical as the one we saw last week. The Wallabies rely more on smart tactics, retaining possession, and stringing the phases together to create gaps outwide. No doubt the Boks will still try to man handle and intimidate the Wallabies. Giteau, Barnes, Mortlock, Mitchell and Cooper all have good boots and they will no doubt try to keep the game in the Bok half; as I am sure Messrs Steyn, Du Preez, and Frans Steyn will try to keep the game in the Australian half. Because of the kicking we are likely to see, the lineouts will become a critical part of the game; and as mentioned, I expect the Boks to try and use the lineouts to attack the Wallaby forwards while the Wallabies will use the lineout to attack the Bok backs. The defense that is able to withstand the most pressure will win it for their side.
This is a really tough game to call; so I won’t. I will simply sit down with a beer in my hand and enjoy the two best teams in world rugby going at it.
South Africa: 15 Frans Steyn, 14 JP Pietersen, 13 Jaque Fourie, 12 Jean de Villiers, 11 Bryan Habana, 10 Morné Steyn, 9 Fourie du Preez, 8 Pierre Spies, 7 Juan Smith, 6 Heinrich Brüssow, 5 Victor Matfield, 4 Bakkies Botha, 3 John Smit (c), 2 Bismarck du Plessis, 1 Tendai Mtawarira.
Replacements: 16 Chiliboy Ralepelle, 17 Jannie du Plessis, 18 Andries Bekker, 19 Danie Rossouw, 20 Ricky Januarie, 21 Ruan Pienaar, 22 Adi Jacobs.
Australia:15 Adam Ashley-Cooper, 14 Lachie Turner, 13 Stirling Mortlock (c), 12-Berrick Barnes, 11 Drew Mitchell, 10 Matt Giteau, 9 Luke Burgess, 8 Wycliff Palu, 7 George Smith, 6 Richard Brown, 5 Nathan Sharpe, 4 James Horwill, 3 Al Baxter, 2 Stephen Moore, 1 Benn Robinson.
Replacements: 16 Tatafu Polota-Nau, 17 Ben Alexander, 18 Dean Mumm, 19 David Pocock, 20 Will Genia, 21 Peter Hynes, 22 James O’Connor.
19 comments
Guru says:
Aug 7, 2009
This game should be a very close affair. I believe this is a watershed game for the boks while the Aus really don’t have much to lose playing away from home. I am keen to see how Frans Steyn handles a backline with at least 3 quality tactical kickers. I think Frans might just be stretched and if he can pass this test, he will come out a different player. In Giteau, Barnes and Ashley-Cooper, the Aus will match the bok’s tactical kicking. I think the boks should look to consolidate and use their rolling maul more often and ensure that they physically dominate. The breakdown will be another interesting tussle between Heinrich and George. It should be a close affair because Aus have a better all round flyhalf but the boks have the best scrum half in the world. Du Preez to make the difference in a close match.
Ron says:
Aug 7, 2009
It is good to see that there is no rain predicted in CPT for this one so we should see some decent running rugby from both teams. If the boks are not careful they could just be caught off guard by the vast contrast of their opponents compared to the all blacks they played last week. Tomorrow there will be competition at the line outs, there will be a team which does not run the ball from anywhere.
Ad Guru has pointed out that the difference could just be Du Preez. I can see where he is coming from with this as I do not rate the Wallabies Luke Burgess. I would have backed the Wallabies if Jacobs was number 13 as Mortlock would have had a party against him but Fourie is a different player all together and his defence is immense as we saw last weekend against the all blacks.
Manny says:
Aug 7, 2009
Having said that Ron, lets not forget that Januarie remains the back up scrum half for the Boks, while the W have Genia who is probably a better player than Burgess. But maybe PdV will put Ruan on at scrummy when Du Preez gets subbed.
Fraz says:
Aug 7, 2009
I’m predicting 35-12. Done…..finish…..and Klaar!
BP says:
Aug 7, 2009
ya but manny why’d they sub du preez unless they’re winning comfortably? he’s a key cog in the bok game plan and its execution…
burgess is kak, i do think genia should start, he’s got zip that kid
the rest of the world are lacking in good scrummies, think the only other one ive been impressed withs o far was the french 9…
Manny says:
Aug 7, 2009
Dont forget Phillips
Mozie says:
Aug 7, 2009
Another one sided preview. I dont know what must the Boks do to get the respect which they deserve so so so much. Anyways lets let them do the talking in the field of Newlands tomorrow.
Good luck Wallabies, GO Bokke
BP says:
Aug 7, 2009
ya, ok phillips, but he wasnt that hot for the welsh in recent times and only really shone for the lions whereas du preez has performed consistantly with any team for at least the last 2 or 3 seasons
haha i thknk the aussies are overrating themselves, even tho they play a different game to the ABs i still think that it’ll be more of the boks throwing it away than the wallabies winning it.
Robin says:
Aug 8, 2009
I respectfully draw the attention of the Wallaby coach and mangement to the fact that the laws of rugby used to require all opposing players within a 10m radius of the player catching the ball from a high kick (up and under)to immediately retire beyond a radius of 10m circle . Furthermore the player kicking the ball could not put his players on side within that 10m circle. To the best of my knowledge and belief, the experimental law variations have not made any adjustment to this law and yet it is not being applied by the referees to the detriment of the game. I suggest that management request that the referee apply the law which will make this afternoons’ tri-nations game far more interesting and competitive.
Mozie says:
Aug 8, 2009
bam wam thank you mam.
this game was over as a contest at half time (23-10). the green machine goes on…….
Fraz says:
Aug 11, 2009
My score would have been right on if Giteu had been shown the correct red coloured card….
ha ha ha I am predicting min of 2 out of three on the road!!
BP says:
Aug 11, 2009
fraz my man, that was no where near a red card…fishing there mate!
BP says:
Aug 11, 2009
is anyone gonna write a story about the bok v aussie game or was it too boring to put into words?
Mozie says:
Aug 11, 2009
I have a couple of titles should anyone need them:
1. Deans bemoans ill-discipline wallabies
2. Disgraceful aussies anger media
3. Boks juggernout rolls past wallabies
BP says:
Aug 11, 2009
or how about these moz:
1. New ‘Naas Botha’ kicks boks to victory, again
2. Boks kick more balls in one game than in a game of soccer, again
3. PDV chooses players 1 – 10; 11 -15 not needed
4. Giteau now in same thuggery bracket as Bakkies
haha
Guru says:
Aug 11, 2009
Give me a minute chaps, I will post a review.
Mozie says:
Aug 11, 2009
EISH those will do BP
was the game that bad mate? I enjoyed every minute of it….. including the two ausie tries
BP says:
Aug 11, 2009
eish moz, i even reverted to watching the ashes bra….seriously got bored of kick chase kick chase kick chase penalty kick chase….thats not rugby in my opinion, but heck, if it means teams when then im not saying dont play it. im saying i dnot wanna watch it…
BP says:
Aug 11, 2009
even when the aussies reverted to that when they were down to 13 men that was boring to watch